[麗莎]2024年GameFi機遇與挑戰(zhàn)

時間：2023-12-30|瀏覽：271

GameFi 可能會成為具有里程碑意義的一年，預(yù)計將發(fā)布多款 3A (AAA) 游戲。

2024年會是區(qū)塊鏈撼動傳統(tǒng)游戲市場的一年嗎？

GameFi 游戲并不總是在普通游戲公眾中享有最佳聲譽。

該類型的批評者指出其圖形平庸、游戲機制缺乏創(chuàng)意以及普遍缺乏樂趣。

更令人惱火的是，GameFi 游戲的代幣化元素往往難以長期維持。

但如果行業(yè)專家可信的話，GameFi 可能會進行徹底改造。

Shrapnel 是一款包含創(chuàng)作者生態(tài)系統(tǒng)的 AAA 級第一人稱逃生射擊游戲，其首席執(zhí)行官 Mark Long 是預(yù)測該行業(yè)將迎來積極發(fā)展的聲音之一。

朗很快承認區(qū)塊鏈游戲目前的聲譽非常好壞參半，但他認為下一波游戲會讓批評者感到困惑。

“我預(yù)計明年最重要的事情之一就是圍繞 Web3 游戲的敘述方式的轉(zhuǎn)變，”Long 告訴 Cointelegraph。

“讓我們面對現(xiàn)實吧，人們對這一類型的看法是，區(qū)塊鏈游戲很糟糕。

由龐氏騙局機制驅(qū)動，需要新玩家的不斷流入來證實任何應(yīng)計價值。

它們不是為了賺錢而玩；而是為了賺錢。

他們是邊玩邊工作?！?/p>

盡管 Long 對當(dāng)前的 GameFi 游戲很挑剔，但他預(yù)測正在醞釀的幾款“突破性”游戲?qū)⒏淖児姷目捶ā?/p>

“我非常喜歡玩的兩款游戲是《Dead Drop》和《Off The Grid》，”Long 說道。

“Dead Drop 是由 Disrespect 博士創(chuàng)造性地領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的，一個按照自己的規(guī)則行事的人的影響力就在前面 [...] Off The Grid 有我最喜歡的電影導(dǎo)演 Neil Blomkamp 來推動設(shè)計，它看起來很火。

對我來說，布盧姆坎普的世界是一種獨特的、接地氣的科幻小說，同時又以非常具體的方式令人驚訝?！?/p>

Shrapnel 首席執(zhí)行官還將 Wildcard 命名為他期待的另一個游戲，并引用了包括玩家所有權(quán)在內(nèi)的開發(fā)模型。

“GameFi 為 Web2 游戲玩家提供了一個令人興奮的新機會，讓他們可以做他們一直想做的事情：成為游戲創(chuàng)作的一部分，”Long 說。

簡單的龐氏騙局

并非所有去中心化金融（DeFi）領(lǐng)域的人都對 GameFi 來年的前景感到如此興奮。

移動賺錢平臺 Sweat Economy 的聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人奧列格·福緬科 (Oleg Fomenko) 對該行業(yè)持高度懷疑態(tài)度。

Fomenko 認為差異化的 GameFi 行業(yè)永遠無法挑戰(zhàn)傳統(tǒng)游戲，他認為整個概念都是錯誤的。

“The belief that a game which simply incorporates Web3 elements automatically belongs to a distinct category of GameFi is quickly fading,” Fomenko told Cointelegraph. “While Axie Infinity and StepN initially led us to believe they had created a whole new gaming world where players could earn and live off their earnings, this turned out to be a temporary and disappointing phenomenon. These were simply Ponzi schemes that benefited early adopters who also knew when to jump ship early.”

Fomenko said GameFi tokens only capture value “if gameplay inherently generates value,” but “it doesn’t.” Therefore, GameFi is inherently flawed.

Even so, the Sweat Economy founder did find some positivity in the wider Web3 sector. Fomenko went on to say that “games with Web3 elements will thrive, and I’m excited to see further innovation in this space, especially in the utility of nonfungible tokens (NFTs) within games.”

GameFi’s redemption arc

For GameFi to make a significant impact in 2024, it will need to overcome the negative perceptions that surround the industry. This is the verdict of Les Borsai, co-founder and chief strategy officer of Wave Financial — an investment adviser managing over $1.5 billion in assets.

Recent: AI a powerful tool for devs to change gaming, says former Google gaming head

“Looking towards 2024, the journey of GameFi is at a critical juncture,” says Borsai. “Its current state has frankly been underwhelming, often criticized for prioritizing blockchain and DeFi gimmicks over genuine gameplay quality. This approach has led to significant backlash from the gaming community, who feel that the essence of gaming is being overshadowed by overt monetization tactics and unengaging mechanics.”

Borsai sees an opportunity for the industry if it can capitalize on other new technology trends, such as artificial intelligence (AI) and digital twin technologies. As Borsai sees it, these present “an opportunity for GameFi to redeem itself.”

“For GameFi to make a real impact in 2024 and win back gamers, it needs to fundamentally reevaluate its approach,” said Borsai. “It must go beyond slapping on advanced technology; it needs to integrate these elements seamlessly into games that players actually want to spend time in. If GameFi can strike this balance, it has the potential to not only mature but to also significantly alter our perception of what gaming with integrated finance can be.”

A complex business

Building AAA gaming titles is no easy task. Cutting-edge games typically take anywhere from two to five years to develop and bring to market. The wait for some titles is even longer. For example, Grand Theft Auto VI is scheduled for 2025 — a full 12 years after its predecessor hit the market.

The protracted development process illustrates how difficult game development is, even without the added complexity of integrating blockchain technology.

零知識（ZK）原生區(qū)塊鏈 Mina Protocol 的技術(shù)產(chǎn)品經(jīng)理 Teddy Pender 認為，零知識技術(shù)的實施可能會簡化流程。

“過去，Web3 游戲應(yīng)用程序因用戶界面簡陋和游戲體驗差而受到批評。

然而，2024 年將是一個轉(zhuǎn)折點，屆時我們將看到 GameFi 應(yīng)用程序開始看起來并感覺像是現(xiàn)有 Web2 游戲行業(yè)的真正競爭對手。”Pender 告訴 Cointelegraph。

“通過使用 ZK 原生區(qū)塊鏈，開發(fā)者可以構(gòu)建利用零知識框架的游戲，從而降低 GameFi 應(yīng)用程序的復(fù)雜性?！?/p>

無論 ZK-proofs 還是其他技術(shù)解決方案能夠幫助推動行業(yè)以新的活力向前發(fā)展，一些人士認為，該行業(yè)在希望趕上傳統(tǒng)游戲之前還有很長的路要走。