下一次比特幣減半將于四月發(fā)生。

根據(jù)歷史趨勢(shì)，比特幣（BTC）在減半事件前后通常會(huì)經(jīng)歷顯著的價(jià)格波動(dòng)。

然而，盡管存在潛在的波動(dòng)性，但也存在投資機(jī)會(huì)，進(jìn)行技術(shù)分析可以幫助交易者圍繞比特幣減半事件做出投資決策。

本文展示了交易者在過(guò)去的比特幣減半事件中采用的一些戰(zhàn)略投資機(jī)會(huì)。

然而，請(qǐng)記住，所有投資都帶有一定程度的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，因此在嘗試這些比特幣投資策略之前，請(qǐng)進(jìn)行廣泛的投資者教育。

利用比特幣減半的策略

以下部分深入探討了利用比特幣減半事件的策略。

把握市場(chǎng)時(shí)機(jī)

該策略依賴于“買謠言，賣新聞”的原則。

投資者關(guān)注市場(chǎng)新聞和情緒，了解市場(chǎng)動(dòng)態(tài)，進(jìn)行市場(chǎng)分析，并在發(fā)現(xiàn)交易信號(hào)時(shí)采取行動(dòng)。

然而，這是利用比特幣減半最具挑戰(zhàn)性的方式之一，因?yàn)橥顿Y者的時(shí)機(jī)必須準(zhǔn)確，而這種情況很少見(jiàn)。

從歷史上看，比特幣減半事件對(duì)比特幣的價(jià)格產(chǎn)生了積極影響，引發(fā)了資本化趨勢(shì)。

減半事件往往會(huì)引發(fā)樂(lè)觀的市場(chǎng)情緒，導(dǎo)致減半前后的牛市行情。

預(yù)計(jì)比特幣供應(yīng)稀缺會(huì)增加其需求，推動(dòng)其價(jià)值上漲。

然而，歷史性的減半后價(jià)格上漲并不能保證2024年減半后也會(huì)發(fā)生同樣的情況。

始終進(jìn)行自己的研究，以更好地了解價(jià)格趨勢(shì)。

短期和長(zhǎng)期投資規(guī)劃

為了發(fā)展他們的交易技巧，交易者需要評(píng)估他們的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)承受能力并制定他們的投資目標(biāo)。

這將取決于交易者是使用比特幣作為價(jià)值儲(chǔ)存手段，還是利用頻繁的價(jià)格波動(dòng)來(lái)做出有利可圖的決策。

一旦投資者了解了自己的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)偏好和投資期限，他們就可以制定短期或長(zhǎng)期策略：

短線交易

采用這種策略的交易者通常會(huì)利用定期的價(jià)格變動(dòng)來(lái)實(shí)現(xiàn)短期收益。

它需要詳細(xì)的技術(shù)分析和采用合理的交易策略才能實(shí)現(xiàn)。

他們還監(jiān)控價(jià)格變動(dòng)、識(shí)別趨勢(shì)并設(shè)定進(jìn)入和退出點(diǎn)。

長(zhǎng)期戰(zhàn)略

這也稱為買入并持有 (hodl) 策略。

雖然不能保證 2024 年減半事件后價(jià)格會(huì)上漲，但過(guò)去的事件表明，比特幣的價(jià)格會(huì)在幾個(gè)月或幾年后上漲，每次都創(chuàng)下歷史新高。

平均成本法

Employing the dollar-cost averaging DCA strategy means investing a set amount of money at fixed, regular intervals, regardless of Bitcoin’s current price at those intervals. The strategy aims to reduce the impact of market volatility by spreading the investment over time.

DCA has proved a solid strategy for other investors during times of high price volatility, so it could work when high volatility occurs during Bitcoin’s halving (which historically has led to substantial price movements). It takes away the pressure of trying to time the market perfectly.

Additionally, the DCA strategy helps soften the blow of short-term price fluctuations by accumulating Bitcoin over time. This ensures investors reap potential long-term price gains by averaging out their cost basis.

Diversifying portfolio

One of the key investing strategies is diversifying portfolios, aligning with the investment saying, “Don’t put your eggs in one basket.” This enables investors to spread their risk by investing in different assets, minimizing the impact of an underperforming investment.

While BTC may be the main investment asset, a trader could exploit other cryptocurrency opportunities in a well-balanced portfolio. If the price of Bitcoin goes up, for instance, a Bitcoin holder could sell some of their BTC and invest in other cryptocurrencies or traditional asset investment avenues to beef up their investment portfolio.

As always, investors should conduct a fundamental analysis of all potential investment assets before committing to any decision.

Bitcoin derivatives trading

A derivative is a contract between a trader and another party, with Bitcoin as the underlying asset setting the value of the derivative. Focusing on Bitcoin derivatives trading in the context of halving events involves leveraging the increased volatility and market speculation that often accompany these periods.

Traders rely on derivatives to set the terms of the speculation and engage in derivatives trading when they wager about the future price movement of Bitcoin, hoping to gain if they bet correctly. They may also engage in derivatives trading as a hedge against long positions; that is, they expect the value of Bitcoin to increase. Derivatives trading could help cover some losses if Bitcoin’s price does not rise within the given time.

Here’s how trailers utilize derivatives during Bitcoin halving events:

Options

Under the terms of an options contract, the trader has the right to buy the Bitcoin at a specified amount (strike price) within or at the end of a set period. The contract does not place an obligation to buy the underlying asset.

Traders could use options to buy or sell Bitcoin when the price is most favorable in light of the high volatility usually experienced during halving events. For instance, a trader may buy call options before a Bitcoin halving event if they believe that the halving will cause an increase in the price of Bitcoin since the supply of BTC will be reduced. In contrast, a trader may purchase put options if they anticipate a price decline due to possible short-term sell-offs or market adjustments.

Futures

Holding futures contracts enables the trader to buy or sell Bitcoin at an agreed price on a set date. Unlike options contracts, they are obligated to buy or sell the contract at a future date. Traders may engage in futures contracts to speculate on or hedge against the post-halving price movements.

For instance, to lock a price for purchasing or selling BTC at a later time, perhaps around the halving event, traders may choose to enter into futures contracts. A trader may enter a long futures contract if they believe the price will rise after the halving. On the other hand, a short futures contract can be advantageous if they anticipate a price decline.

Perpetual contracts

Also known as perpetual swaps/futures contracts, these are the cryptocurrency equivalent of the traditional financing contract for differences. The main difference is that perpetual contracts have no expiry dates, unlike futures and options contracts. A trader can hold the position for as long as they can pay the funding rate or holding fees.

Usually, there is a difference between the index price and the perpetual contract price because the price of Bitcoin changes frequently during halvings. If the price of the perpetual contract is higher than the index, those holding a long position generally cover the price difference by paying the funding rate. Similarly, if the price of the perpetual contract is lower than the index’s, traders who “go short” typically pay the funding rate to cover the difference.

Perpetual contracts appeal during halving events since they don’t expire and let traders hold long or short positions eternally. If traders believe that the halving will result in a sustained price increase, they may go long; if they think there will be a decrease or more volatility, they may go short.

Risk management strategies to navigate Bitcoin volatility

The golden rule of investing states that traders should only invest what they can afford to lose. This is especially true considering Bitcoin’s volatility. Regardless of the historical price rise post-halving, there’s no telling which way the Bitcoin price will swing, so an optimal halving strategy should include setting up a stop order. The order will sell the asset when prices drop lower than the investor expected, stopping excessive losses.

止損訂單的另一端是止盈訂單。

比特幣價(jià)格波動(dòng)意味著當(dāng)交易者不積極交易時(shí)它可能會(huì)飆升，然后一旦開(kāi)始交易就會(huì)下跌。

為了利用潛在利潤(rùn)，交易者可以設(shè)置止盈訂單，一旦價(jià)格達(dá)到預(yù)定的理想水平，該訂單就會(huì)自動(dòng)觸發(fā)資產(chǎn)出售。

上述方法的最終目標(biāo)是在波動(dòng)的市場(chǎng)中確保利潤(rùn)，同時(shí)保護(hù)資產(chǎn)免受災(zāi)難性損失。

然而，無(wú)論發(fā)生什么情況，投資者都應(yīng)該評(píng)估自己的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)承受能力，并使投資與其財(cái)務(wù)目標(biāo)保持一致。

本文不包含投資建議或建議。

每一項(xiàng)投資和交易行為都涉及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，讀者在做出決定時(shí)應(yīng)自行研究。

熱點(diǎn)：利用比特幣 比特幣 比特幣減半 特幣