時(shí)間:2024-02-14|瀏覽:287
如今,與比特幣價(jià)格上漲的同時(shí),比特幣的主導(dǎo)地位也實(shí)現(xiàn)了進(jìn)一步的積極飛躍,激發(fā)了人們對(duì)在不久的將來迎來一個(gè)偉大的山寨季階段的希望。
事實(shí)上,通常情況下,當(dāng)比特幣的主導(dǎo)地位從高點(diǎn)開始暴跌時(shí),山寨幣在價(jià)格方面表現(xiàn)最佳。
正如過去牛市周期中發(fā)生的那樣,今年我們很可能有機(jī)會(huì)用比特幣的替代貨幣進(jìn)行投機(jī)。
替代季節(jié)即將到來:以下是有關(guān)如何準(zhǔn)備的所有詳細(xì)信息。
比特幣主導(dǎo)趨勢(shì):BTC 統(tǒng)治加密貨幣市場(chǎng)
隨著比特幣重返 51,000 美元以上,使該加密資產(chǎn)的市值達(dá)到 1 萬億美元, 比特幣優(yōu)勢(shì)指數(shù)也記錄了一根綠色蠟燭 ,有效增加了進(jìn)入值得注意的“山寨季節(jié)”階段的機(jī)會(huì)。
“山寨幣季節(jié)
”一詞
指的是加密貨幣市場(chǎng)中所謂的“另類幣”(山寨幣)與 BTC 相比表現(xiàn)出更高價(jià)格表現(xiàn)的時(shí)期。
通常這個(gè)階段與比特幣優(yōu)勢(shì)指數(shù)的下降同時(shí)發(fā)生,但 它總是發(fā)生在同一指數(shù)大幅增長的前一個(gè)階段之后。
事實(shí)上,牛市期間,加密貨幣市場(chǎng)的資金輪轉(zhuǎn)過程是這樣的:先是比特幣上漲,導(dǎo)致BTC.DOM上漲,然后以太坊等山寨幣上漲,BTC.DOM大幅拋售。
事實(shí)上,在上一個(gè)看漲周期中,從 2020 年 9 月到 2020 年 12 月,同一指數(shù)大幅增長,從 58% 升至 73%。 從 2021 年 1 月到 5 月,這一比例下降至 41%,導(dǎo)致許多山寨幣瘋狂上漲,乘數(shù)達(dá)到兩位數(shù)。
盡管我們距離 2020 年底觀察到的統(tǒng)治水平還很遙遠(yuǎn),但我們?nèi)匀豢梢钥隙?,我們至少已?jīng) 接近可以正式慶祝山寨季到來的逆轉(zhuǎn)時(shí)刻。
周期性地,比特幣的主導(dǎo)地位持續(xù)下降,為新項(xiàng)目騰出了空間,這些新項(xiàng)目通過日益創(chuàng)新的產(chǎn)品為加密貨幣領(lǐng)域注入活力。
今年該指數(shù)很難超過 60-65% ,因此我們已經(jīng)可以開始為這一歷史上為最細(xì)心的交易者帶來巨額利潤的事件做準(zhǔn)備了。
一旦超過 55% 閾值,我們可以預(yù)期指標(biāo)中會(huì)出現(xiàn)另一次上漲,可能的目標(biāo)在 56% 范圍內(nèi),隨后是 58%。
請(qǐng)小心,不要被未來幾天當(dāng)前的負(fù)面收縮所欺騙,因?yàn)樗鼈兛赡苤皇菚簳r(shí)的下降,而不是山寨季節(jié)的真正開始。
As for timing, it is possible to hypothesize that the true altseason will begin after BTC surpasses its previous all-time high at 69,000 USD.
Altcoins from here to the near future could still achieve positive percentage returns, but it is likely that the majority will underperform digital gold until the moment the speculators’ party begins.
Altseason incoming: several altcoins are ready to explode
With Bitcoin Dominance preparing for one of its last bullish movements before the expected big dump, we can now prepare ourselves by identifying the cryptocurrencies that will perform best during the next altseason phase.
First of all, it is important to clarify that if there ever will be a true altseason, certainly ETH will be one of the coins that will benefit the most from this situation, being the altcoin par excellence in the cryptocurrency market.
This coin in its chart against Bitcoin may have already found the bottom at 0.05 sat after a downtrend that had been continuing since September 2022.
The forecasts for ETH are that during the bearish phase of Bitcoin Dominance, it will return to a value of 0.08 sat, with a hypothetical dollar equivalent of around $8,000.
To be prepared, it wouldn’t be wrong to consider starting to convert a small portion of your BTC into ETH from now on.
Other cryptocurrencies that could explode during altseason are all those that have debuted in the market in the last 12-16 months and have never experienced a real bull run.
Among these are OP, ARB, TIA, PYTH, DYM, MANTA, ALT, AI, XAI, SUI, SEI, and PENDLE.
They are all high potential coins that could deliver frightening performances, while also carrying obvious risks of encountering dangerous downtrends if things were to go wrong.
Be careful to position yourself too early on this coin, from here until the next few months they could experience significant drops, and then recover during a bullish market phase.
Some of these, such as TIA, have already grown significantly in recent weeks, so it is better to wait for a retracement rather than jumping in at historical highs.
Finally, another category of altcoins preferred to undergo a bullish price action in the coming months concerns high-cap historical coins which consistently offer good returns during each bull run.
We are obviously talking about cryptocurrencies like XRP, XLM, ADA, LTC, VET, DOGE, and TRX, which have a good track record and have already shown that they can deliver when it really matters.
Be careful not to fall in love with these coins as they outperform BTC only in certain phases of the year and in the long run they constantly lose value compared to the major crypto asset.
Other altcoins to keep an eye on for strong pumps when Bitcoin Dominance drops include LINK, SOL, AVAX, MATIC, ICP, MNT, BGB, and BNB.
即使在這些情況下,過早推進(jìn)也可能是錯(cuò)誤的選擇:最好制定一個(gè)關(guān)于如何推測(cè)山寨季節(jié)的戰(zhàn)略計(jì)劃, 只有在正確的時(shí)間到來時(shí)才準(zhǔn)備好執(zhí)行轉(zhuǎn)換。
我們提醒您,這些都是有風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的操作,那些不想應(yīng)對(duì)比比特幣價(jià)格波動(dòng)已經(jīng)特征更高的波動(dòng)性的人可以放心地忽略這些投機(jī)機(jī)會(huì),并在整個(gè)牛市期間持有他們的聰。
在深入研究新趨勢(shì)之前,請(qǐng)務(wù)必仔細(xì)評(píng)估您的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)敞口并進(jìn)行研究。