探索我們的 Avalanche 價格預(yù)測分析，我們試圖確定代幣在 2024 年可能采取的軌跡。

Avalanche (AVAX) 目前在市值方面排名第 10，最近經(jīng)歷了大幅的市值波動。該代幣于 2021 年 11 月 21 日達到令人印象深刻的歷史新高 146.22 美元，但截至撰寫本文時，其價值已降至約 34 美元，較峰值下跌約 76.6%。

Avalanche 30 天價格圖表 |來源：CoinGecko

這種下跌引發(fā)了人們對 AVAX 代幣未來潛力和穩(wěn)定性的一系列猜測。我們的最新分析深入研究了 2024 年及以后的全面 Avalanche 價格預(yù)測，評估這種代幣是否能夠重拾光彩并再次提升估值。

雪崩：歷史一瞥

檢查 AVAX 自 2020 年 9 月上市以來的價格軌跡（最初交易價格接近 5 美元），發(fā)現(xiàn)了一系列的波峰和波谷。

2021 年初的牛市使其價值在當(dāng)年 2 月突破 50 美元，但這種勢頭是短暫的。盡管如此，隨后的反彈使該代幣在 11 月 21 日達到歷史新高 146.22 美元，年底收于 109.27 美元。

接下來的一年對于 AVAX 來說是動蕩的，該代幣受到市場崩盤的困擾，收于 10.90 美元，表明年度跌幅超過 90%。

2023 年的軌跡相對停滯，直到年底的反彈使 AVAX 的價值飆升了 250% 以上，這一飆升使其估值達到 2022 年 5 月以來的最高水平。平臺上質(zhì)押獎勵和交易量的增加推動了這一上漲。

然而，盡管取得了這些收益，但 AVAX 的價格在 2023 年 12 月下旬出現(xiàn)了下降，包括來自 Artemis 的數(shù)據(jù)在內(nèi)的一些分析表明，這與 Avalanche C 鏈的使用量減少有關(guān)。

負責(zé) Avalanche 開發(fā)的組織 Ava Labs 也宣布裁員 12%，創(chuàng)始人 Emin Gün Sirer 表示，旨在戰(zhàn)略性地重新分配資源，并在加密貨幣熊持續(xù)面臨的挑戰(zhàn)中加強生態(tài)系統(tǒng)的發(fā)展市場。

今天，我們與 Ava Labs 的一些團隊成員分道揚鑣。我們不再是一個 12 人的初創(chuàng)公司，但我們努力捕捉一個小而靈活的團隊的速度和能量。這次人員減少影響了 Ava Labs 的 12%，并使我們能夠重新分配資源，以加倍投入……

— Emin Gün Sirer (@el33th4xor) 2023 年 11 月 7 日

雪崩生態(tài)系統(tǒng)事件

以下是 Avalanche 生態(tài)系統(tǒng)中可能影響 2024 年 AVAX 價格的一些關(guān)鍵事件和發(fā)展。

杜蘭戈升級

The eagerly awaited Durango upgrade, aimed at bolstering inter-chain transactions and scalability, is provisionally set to go live on Avalanche’s Fuji Testnet at 11 a.m. ET on Feb. 13. Many within the space feel this strategic enhancement could be a game-changer for the AVAX community.

Durango: Avalanche Warp Messaging Comes to the EVM The pre-release code has been released for Durango, a proposed upgrade to the Avalanche Network set to activate on Fuji Testnet on February 13th, 2024 at 11am ET.Durango brings Avalanche Warp Messaging to the C-Chain,… https://t.co/v4ktD0NeSA

— Avalanche (@avax) February 1, 2024

$345 million AVAX token unlock

A significant release of 9.5 million AVAX tokens, currently valued at close to $320 million, is slated for Feb. 22. These tokens are earmarked for strategic partners and team members, with a portion designated for airdrops to promote a balance between long-term commitment and potential short-term market movements.

This looming token unlock could mirror a previous release from November 23, which saw a subsequent 9.85% dip in the price of AVAX within four days. If historical patterns hold true, the price of AVAX could face a comparable downtrend post-unlock.

Avalanche Warp Messaging

The rollout of Avalanche Warp Messaging (AWM) is projected to significantly enhance on-chain and cross-chain communications, contributing to a more cohesive and robust network infrastructure.

This innovation is expected to optimize protocol interoperability on the Avalanche platform, ultimately benefiting users.

Vryx scalability solution

Avalanche’s recent announcement of its scaling solution named Vryx has also stirred considerable interest from the crypto community. This technology aims to revolutionize the Avalanche network’s capacity, claiming to handle 100,000 transactions per second (TPS).

Ava Labs revealed the Vryx scalability solution in a detailed research paper, and expectations are high for its pilot on the inaugural HyperSDK testnet, slated for release midway through Q2 2024.

The market’s response to this announcement has so far been notably positive, with AVAX’s value elevating from $32.3 to $36.32 in just one day—an uplift of 12.55%.

The brief uptrend also spurred an upsurge in trading volume, escalating by 39.79% to reach $735 million on the day following the Vryx announcement.

You might also like: Ava Labs outlines solution to push Avalanche to 100k TPS

Avalanche 2024 prediction

Sentiment within the crypto market is a powerful force that influences price trajectories. AVAX is undoubtedly subject to these market winds, with various predictions informed by past trends and technical examinations painting a diverse range of futures for the coin.

For instance, short-term Avalanche crypto price predictions from CoinCodex propose a subtle rise to $29.96, eventually reaching up to $32.55 by late February, with a roughly balanced technical AVAX outlook.

For 2024, Avalanche projections vary from CaptainAltCoin’s conservative estimate of $34.90 in December to DigitalCoinPrice’s bullish prediction of $63.63.

Wallet Investor takes a conservative stance, predicting no long-term rise and setting the year-end 2024 price forecast at $36.87, suggesting that investments today may depreciate. Conversely, Digital Coin Price’s forecast is slightly more optimistic, with its AVAX price prediction hitting a high of $36.01 and not falling below $13.95 by the end of the year.

GOV Capital shares a more positive outlook, speculating that AVAX’s price could escalate to $66 within a year.

Price Prediction and Tech News Leader indicate a generally bullish sentiment for 2024, projecting average prices around $59.27 and $58.94, respectively, with potential peaks of up to $70.17.

Trading Education goes even further, casting an ambitious Avalanche price forecast starting at $123 at the outset of 2024 and soaring as high as $327 later in the year.

Avalanche price: a long-term view

Investors and industry experts are eagerly eyeing the future value of the Avalanche coin beyond 2024, looking ahead to 2025 and even 2030. This analysis explores Avalanche’s potential for long-term growth, considering its ability to adapt in a competitive digital currency landscape where innovation and regulatory compliance are crucial.

Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic stance, with the Avalanche price prediction for 2025 ranging from $59.29 to $71.67 based on current market trends and technological advancements.

Coming to longer-term prospects, the Avalanche price prediction for 2030 is more varied: PricePrediction.net envisions a bullish future with a potential price point of $416.66, whereas DigitalCoinPrice presents a more conservative average figure of $222.56. On the other hand, CaptainAltCoin’s Avalanche expectations sit at a cautious $148.23.

However, all these Avalanche coin price predictions come with the caveat that the crypto market is notoriously unpredictable, with prices susceptible to wide swings based on many factors, from investor sentiment to regulatory changes.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

Is Avalanche a good investment?

As with any investment, potential rewards come with risks. Avalanche boasts a unique consensus mechanism and has seen growing adoption in the defi space. However, investors should consider market trends, conduct thorough research, and evaluate their risk tolerance before investing.

Will the price of Avalanche go up or down?

Cryptocurrency markets are notoriously volatile, and prices can fluctuate widely based on various factors. While Avalanche may have a promising technology and community, its price could still go either way.

Should I invest in Avalanche?

該決定取決于您的個人財務(wù)目標(biāo)和投資策略。在投資之前評估 Avalanche 的技術(shù)、團隊和市場地位以及您自己的財務(wù)狀況非常重要。

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