標準普爾 500 指數(shù) (SPX) 和納斯達克綜合指數(shù)上周創(chuàng)下歷史新高，表明投資者的風險偏好情緒。

比特幣 (BTC) 也不甘落后，目前距離 2021 年 11 月創(chuàng)下的歷史高點 69,000 美元還差不到 2,000 美元。

這種勢頭有利于買家在未來幾天內(nèi)將比特幣的價格推升至歷史新高。

但核心問題是，升破 69,000 美元是否會開啟下一階段的上升趨勢，還是價格會急劇下跌并開始修正階段，從而困住激進的多頭？

每日加密貨幣市場表現(xiàn)。

來源：

在 FOMO 階段，會在短時間內(nèi)獲得豐厚回報。

盡管風險很高，但這一時期會獎勵能夠度過這一階段的交易者。

然而，交易者需要小心，因為垂直上漲之后會出現(xiàn)急劇下跌。

因此，交易者應做好止損準備，以免收益迅速蒸發(fā)。

多頭能否將比特幣推向歷史新高并維持下去，還是到了獲利了結的時候了？

讓我們分析一下圖表來找出答案。

標準普爾 500 指數(shù)價格分析

3月1日，標準普爾500指數(shù)收于歷史新高，表明多頭仍牢牢占據(jù)主導地位。

SPX 日線圖。

來源：

該指數(shù)已經(jīng)連續(xù)多日在上升通道模式內(nèi)交易，表明空頭可能對阻力線構成強有力的挑戰(zhàn)。

如果價格從阻力線下跌，空頭將試圖將指數(shù)拉至支撐線。

跌破該通道將開始短期調(diào)整階段。

相反，如果多頭將價格推升至通道之上，則將預示著動能回升。

這可能會引發(fā)垂直反彈，使該指數(shù)升至 5,300 點，然后升至 5,500 點。

交易者需要保持謹慎，因為相對強弱指數(shù)（RSI）的負背離表明多頭可能正在失去動力。

美元指數(shù)價格分析

2 月 29 日，多頭將美元指數(shù) (DXY) 推升至 20 日指數(shù)移動平均線 (104) 上方，但未能在此基礎上再進一步。

3 月 1 日，賣家將價格拉回至 20 日均線下方。

DXY 日線圖。

來源：

20 日均線已經(jīng)趨于平緩，RSI 接近中點，表明近期可能出現(xiàn)區(qū)間波動。

如果價格保持在 20 日均線下方，該指數(shù)可能會滑向 50 日簡單移動平均線 (103)。

預計買家將大力捍衛(wèi)這一水平。

相反，如果價格從當前水平回升并升至 104.30 以上，則表明較低水平上存在強勁買盤。

隨后該指數(shù)可能升至 105。突破該阻力位可能為升至 106 打開大門。

比特幣價格分析

Bitcoin has been in a solid uptrend for the past several days. The bears tried to halt the up move near $64,000, but that resulted in the formation of a pennant.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls reasserted their supremacy after kicking the price above the pennant on March 4. This signals the start of the next leg of the uptrend, which could reach the all-time high at $69,000 and thereafter continue to $76,000, which is the pattern target of the breakout from the pennant.

Time is running out for the bears. If they want to make a comeback, they will have to quickly drag the price below $60,000. If they do that, several stops of short-term traders may hit, and the BTC/USDT pair could drop to the 20-day EMA ($56,250).

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) witnessed profit booking near $3,600 on Feb. 29, but the bears failed to start a pullback, indicating that every minor dip is being purchased.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are again trying to overcome the stiff barrier at $3,600. If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair could start the next leg of the uptrend and surge toward $4,000 and later to $4,150.

The upsloping moving averages suggest that bulls are in control, but the RSI has been in the overbought zone for several days, increasing the possibility of a short-term pullback. The immediate support on the downside is at $3,300, and then the 20-day EMA ($3,129).

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) has been in an uptrend for several days. The bears tried to stall the rally at $427, but the bulls bought the dip on Feb. 29, indicating a positive sentiment.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The rising moving averages and the RSI in the overbought zone suggest that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers shove the price above $427, the BNB/USDT pair could reach $460. The bulls may find it challenging to break above this resistance with ease.

The critical support to watch on the downside is the 20-day EMA ($383). If this support cracks, it will indicate that the short-term traders may be rushing to the exit. That could start a corrective phase toward the 50-day SMA ($338).

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) turned down sharply on March 3, but the long tail on the candlestick shows solid buying at lower levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($0.58) and the RSI in the overbought zone suggest the bulls are in command. There is a minor resistance at $0.67, but it is likely to be crossed. The rally could then reach the powerful resistance of $0.74.

Instead, if the price turns down sharply from $0.67, it will signal that the bears are fiercely defending the level. That could pull the price down to the 20-day EMA and keep the XRP/USDT pair inside the $0.46 to $0.67 range for a while.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) closed above the $126 resistance on March 1, but the bulls are struggling to sustain the momentum. This suggests a lack of demand at higher levels.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price maintains above $126, it will increase the likelihood of the resumption of the uptrend. If buyers pierce the $138 level, the SOL/USDT pair is likely to rise to $143 and then to $158.

Contrary to this assumption, if the $126 level gives way, the pair may slump to the 20-day EMA ($116). The bears will have to drag the price below the 20-day EMA to suggest that the breakout above $126 was a fake move. The pair may then drop to the 50-day SMA ($104).

Related: BTC price nears $67K as new GBTC Bitcoin outflows pass $550M

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) started the next leg of the uptrend after buyers overcame the $0.68 barrier on March 1. The bears tried to tug the price back below the breakout level on March 3, but the bulls held their ground. This shows strong buying on dips.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The up move is likely to reach $0.90, where the bears are expected to mount a strong defense. If the momentum remains strong and buyers bulldoze their way through $0.90, the rally could extend to $1.25. The bulls may find it difficult to cross this level.

The RSI has risen above 80, indicating that the rally is at a risk of stalling. The 20-day EMA ($0.64) remains the essential support to watch out for on the downside. A break and close below this level will signal that the bulls are losing their grip. The ADA/USDT pair may then slide to the 50-day SMA ($0.56).

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been in a strong bull run for the past few days. The bears tried to pull the price lower on March 3, but the long tail on the candlestick shows aggressive buying by the bulls.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls resumed the uptrend by pushing the DOGE/USDT pair above the $0.16 overhead resistance on March 4. This opens the door for a possible rise to $0.18 and thereafter to $0.22. The sharp rally has sent the RSI deep into the overbought territory, suggesting a consolidation or correction may be around the corner.

The first support on the downside is at $0.16 and then at $0.12. If this support is taken out, it will suggest that the uptrend may be over.

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche (AVAX) completed a bullish inverse head-and-shoulders pattern after the price closed above the neckline at $42 on March 1.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The AVAX/USDT pair is witnessing a tough battle between the bulls and the bears near the $42 level. If buyers flip the level into support and propel the price above $45, the pair could rally toward the psychological resistance at $50. If this level is overcome, the pair may reach the pattern target of $57.

賣家將不得不將價格拉至 20 日均線（40 美元）以下，以削弱多頭的力量。

隨后該貨幣對可能會跌至 50 日移動平均線（37 美元），這表明 3 月 1 日的突破可能是一個牛市陷阱。

本文不包含投資建議或建議。

每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險，讀者在做出決定時應自行研究。

熱點：BTC DOGE ETH ADA