受現(xiàn)貨比特幣交易所交易基金持續(xù)需求的提振，比特幣 (BTC) 于 2 月 26 日飆升至近 55,000 美元的兩年高點(diǎn)。

CoinShares 數(shù)據(jù)顯示，過去 7 天機(jī)構(gòu)投資者向比特幣投資產(chǎn)品注入了 5.7 億美元。

根據(jù)彭博社 2 月 26 日在 X 上分享的一份研究報(bào)告，自推出以來，比特幣 ETF 的管理凈資產(chǎn)（AUM）流入超過 50 億美元，而黃金 ETF 同期流出了 36 億美元。分析師埃里克·巴爾丘納斯（Eric Balchunas）和副分析師安德烈·亞普（Andre Yapp）。

分析師預(yù)計(jì)，比特幣 ETF 的資產(chǎn)管理規(guī)模將在未來兩年內(nèi)超過黃金 ETF。

每日加密貨幣市場(chǎng)表現(xiàn)。

來源：

比特幣的強(qiáng)勢(shì)可能會(huì)提振加密貨幣領(lǐng)域的情緒，使某些山寨幣受益。

然而，隨著比特幣接近歷史高點(diǎn)，不能排除回調(diào)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，因?yàn)榭疹^試圖做出最后的努力來阻止反彈。

比特幣多頭能否維持突破，或者更高的水平會(huì)吸引短期交易者獲利了結(jié)嗎？

讓我們分析一下圖表來找出答案。

標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾 500 指數(shù)價(jià)格分析

2 月 22 日，標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾 500 指數(shù)飆升至 5,048 點(diǎn)阻力位上方，表明上升趨勢(shì)已恢復(fù)。

SPX 日線圖。

來源：

盡管向上傾斜的移動(dòng)平均線表明買家有優(yōu)勢(shì)，但相對(duì)強(qiáng)弱指數(shù)（RSI）的負(fù)背離表明上升趨勢(shì)可能正在失去動(dòng)力。

20 天指數(shù)移動(dòng)平均線（4,983）仍然是下行方面值得關(guān)注的關(guān)鍵水平。

如果該支撐位破裂，指數(shù)可能會(huì)跌至50日簡(jiǎn)單移動(dòng)平均線（4,857點(diǎn)）。

相反，如果指數(shù)繼續(xù)走高，負(fù)背離就會(huì)失效。

負(fù)面形態(tài)的失敗通常會(huì)導(dǎo)致急劇的上漲。

該指數(shù)隨后可能升至 5,200 點(diǎn)。

美元指數(shù)價(jià)格分析

2 月 22 日，空頭將美元指數(shù) (DXY) 拉至 20 日均線 (103) 以下，但燭臺(tái)上的長尾顯示在反向頭肩形態(tài)的頸線處出現(xiàn)了激進(jìn)的買盤。

DXY 日線圖。

來源：

持平的 20 日均線和中點(diǎn)附近的 RSI 并沒有給多頭或空頭帶來明顯的優(yōu)勢(shì)。

如果價(jià)格上漲并維持在 20 日均線上方，多頭將嘗試將指數(shù)推至 105 上方。如果他們這樣做，反彈可能會(huì)達(dá)到 107。

另一方面，如果價(jià)格從當(dāng)前水平繼續(xù)走低，則表明空頭正試圖卷土重來。

隨后該指數(shù)可能會(huì)滑向 50 日移動(dòng)平均線 (103)。

從該水平反彈可能會(huì)使該指數(shù)在一段時(shí)間內(nèi)保持在區(qū)間內(nèi)。

比特幣價(jià)格分析

Bitcoin broke above the $53,000 overhead resistance on Feb. 26 after consolidating in a tight range for the past several days. This suggests that bulls remain in control.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If buyers sustain the price above $53,000, the BTC/USDT pair is likely to pick up momentum and soar toward $60,000 where the bears are again expected to mount a strong defense.

There are several layers of support on the downside. If $50,500 breaks down, the bulls will try to arrest the decline at the 20-day EMA ($50,075) and then the breakout level of $48,970. The bears will have to tug the price below $48,970 to indicate the start of a deeper correction to the 50-day SMA ($45,734).

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) surged above the $3,036 resistance on Feb. 25, signaling the start of the next leg of the uptrend.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping moving averages indicate that bulls are in command, but the overbought zone on the RSI suggests a minor correction or consolidation is possible. If buyers do not allow the price to sustain below $3,000, the likelihood of a rally to $3,300 and then to $3,540 increases.

The first sign of weakness will be a break and close below the 20-day EMA ($2,823). That will indicate aggressive profit booking by the traders. The ETH/USDT pair could then plunge to $2,717 and subsequently to the 50-day SMA ($2,546).

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) is trying to resume its uptrend, but the overbought level on the RSI suggests that the bears may pose a strong challenge near the overhead resistance at $400.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from the current level but rebounds off the 20-day EMA ($356), it will suggest that the sentiment remains bullish. That will enhance the prospects of a break above $400. The BNB/USDT pair may then rally to $460.

Contrarily, if the price continues lower and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bulls are aggressively booking profits. That could sink the pair to the 50-day SMA ($323). A break below this level will tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) has been trading near the moving averages for the past few days, indicating uncertainty about the next directional move.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish moving averages and the RSI just below the midpoint suggest a possible range-bound action in the near term. The boundaries of the range could be $0.48 on the downside and $0.58 on the upside.

Buyers will have to drive and maintain the price above $0.58 to indicate that the correction may be over. The XRP/USDT pair could then attempt a rally to $0.67 and eventually to $0.74. The support on the downside is at $0.48 and then $0.46.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) is finding support at the 50-day SMA ($100), indicating that the bulls are trying to arrest the decline.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint suggest a range-bound action in the near term. Buyers will have to push and maintain the price above the downtrend line to start a rally to the overhead resistance zone between $119 and $127. If this zone is surmounted, the up move may reach $135.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the current level or the downtrend line and breaks below the 50-day SMA, it will suggest that the bears are selling on rallies. The SOL/USDT pair could then plummet to $80.

Cardano price analysis

The bulls managed to protect the 20-day EMA ($0.58) in Cardano (ADA), indicating that the sentiment remains positive.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The gradually rising 20-day EMA and the RSI in the positive territory show that the bulls have a slight edge. Buyers will try to kick the price to the overhead resistance zone between $0.64 and $0.68.

Contrary to this assumption, if the ADA/USDT pair turns down sharply and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that the bulls have given up. That could start a correction to the 50-day SMA ($0.54).

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche (AVAX) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($36.12) on Feb. 24, indicating that lower levels are attracting buyers.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the buyers or the sellers. If the price turns down and breaks below the 50-day SMA, the AVAX/USDT pair could descend to $32.

Alternatively, a break and close above the 20-day EMA ($37.84) could open the doors for a possible rally to the overhead resistance of $42. The bulls will have to overcome this barrier to signal the completion of an inverse H&S pattern.

Dogecoin price analysis

The bulls successfully defended the breakout level from the triangle but failed to propel Dogecoin (DOGE) above the $0.09 overhead resistance.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This indicates a lack of demand at higher levels. The bears will try to gain the upper hand by pulling the price below the moving averages.

If they succeed, the DOGE/USDT pair could drop to the uptrend line. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if they fail in their endeavor, the pair could start a downward move to $0.07.

The bulls will have to drive and maintain the price above $0.09 to indicate the start of a new up move. The pair could surge to the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone, where the bears are likely to mount a strong defense.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

熱點(diǎn)：BTC DOGE ETH ADA