受美國股市走強(qiáng)以及大量資金流入現(xiàn)貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）的提振，比特幣（BTC）已達(dá)到 50,000 美元的心理關(guān)鍵水平。知名交易員 Daan Crypto Trades 在 X 帖子中指出，比特幣 ETF 的凈流入已連續(xù) 11 天為正值。

一些分析師預(yù)計牛市將繼續(xù)，但 CryptoSlate 研究和數(shù)據(jù)分析師 James Van Straten 警告交易員可能會出現(xiàn)回調(diào)。 Van Straten 在 X 帖子中表示，比特幣總供應(yīng)量的利潤已接近 95%，這“通常標(biāo)志著頂部”。

每日加密貨幣市場表現(xiàn)。來源：

盡管短期回調(diào)風(fēng)險依然存在，但長期前景看起來令人鼓舞。加密貨幣分析平臺 Glassnode 在 2 月 10 日的 X 帖子中表示，部分鏈上指標(biāo)顯示出比特幣可能處于牛市初始階段的跡象。

比特幣能否延續(xù)上漲趨勢，拉動部分山寨幣走高？讓我們分析一下圖表來找出答案。

標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾 500 指數(shù)價格分析

標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾 500 指數(shù) (SPX) 上周延續(xù)漲勢，突破 5,000 點重要心理關(guān)口，表明多頭需求強(qiáng)勁。

SPX 日線圖。來源：

如果買家將價格維持在 5,000 點以上，該指數(shù)可能會加速并飆升至下一個目標(biāo) 5,200 點。盡管向上傾斜的移動平均線表明買家有優(yōu)勢，但相對強(qiáng)弱指數(shù)（RSI）的負(fù)背離警告稱，調(diào)整可能即將到來。

空頭必須將價格拉至 20 天指數(shù)移動平均線 (4,913) 以下，以發(fā)出短期局部頂部信號。隨后該指數(shù)可能會跌至50日簡單移動平均線（4,779）。

美元指數(shù)價格分析

美元指數(shù) (DXY) 在 2 月 2 日突破反向頭肩形態(tài)的頸線后正在盤整。

DXY 日線圖。來源：

上升的 20 日均線（103.63）和 RSI 處于正值區(qū)域表明多頭略有優(yōu)勢。如果買家將價格推升至 104.60 以上，則將標(biāo)志著上升趨勢的恢復(fù)。該指數(shù)隨后可能會攀升至 106，隨后升至 107。

相反，如果價格跌破頸線，則表明空頭正試圖卷土重來。如果價格繼續(xù)走低并跌破 102.77，則看漲設(shè)置將失效。

比特幣價格分析

比特幣突破 1 月 11 日高點 48,970 美元，表明 2 月 12 日下一階段上升趨勢的開始。

BTC/USDT 日線圖。來源：

A close above $48,970 will confirm the breakout and set the stage for a possible rally to $52,000. The $50,000 level may act as a minor resistance, but it is likely to be crossed. A strong momentum could clear the path for a potential rise to $60,000.

Contrary to this assumption, if the BTC/USDT pair turns down and breaks back below $48,970, it will suggest that the bears are selling near $50,000. That will increase the risk of a fall to $44,700.

Ether price analysis

The bears tried to stall Ether’s (ETH) recovery near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $2,507 on Feb. 12, but the bulls did not relent.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The rising 20-day EMA ($2,400) and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that bulls are in command. There is a minor resistance at $2,600, but if that level is crossed, the ETH/USDT pair could reach $2,717.

The breakout level of $2,400 remains the key support to watch for on the downside. If this level is taken out, the selling could accelerate, and the pair may plummet to the strong support at $2,100. Buyers are expected to defend this level aggressively.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) broke above the downtrend line on Feb. 8, but the bulls are finding it difficult to drive the price to the overhead resistance at $338.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The BNB/USDT pair dipped near the moving averages on Feb. 12, but the long tail on the candlestick shows solid buying at lower levels. Buyers will try to clear the minor hurdle at $326 and shove the price to the stiff overhead resistance of $338.

On the contrary, if the price turns down sharply and breaks below the moving average, it will indicate that the bears are attempting a comeback. The pair may then slump to the strong support at $288.

XRP price analysis

XRP’s (XRP) recovery attempt is facing selling at the 20-day EMA ($0.52), indicating that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns lower from the current level, the bears will try to sink and maintain the price below the strong support at $0.50. If they do that, the XRP/USDT pair could slide to the critical support at $0.46. Buyers are expected to defend this level with vigor.

On the upside, a break and close above the 20-day EMA will be the first sign of strength. The pair may then climb to the downtrend line, which is likely to act as a major hurdle for the bulls. A break above this resistance will clear the path for a possible rally to $0.67.

Solana price analysis

The bulls propelled Solana (SOL) above the neckline of the inverse H&S pattern on Feb. 10 and are trying to defend the level during the pullback on Feb. 12.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If buyers maintain the price above $107, the SOL/USDT pair is likely to accelerate toward $117 and then $126. A break above this resistance will signal the resumption of the uptrend. The next target objective on the upside is $135.

Alternatively, if the price turns down sharply and breaks below the moving averages, it will indicate that the break above $107 may have been a bull trap. The pair may then fall to $93 and later to $80.

Related: Bitcoin hits $50K for first time since December 2021

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) is witnessing a tough battle between the bulls and the bears near the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls pushed the price above the channel on Feb. 10, but they could not build upon the breakout on Feb. 11. The bears tried to take advantage of the situation and sink the price below the 50-day SMA ($0.53) on Feb. 12, but the bulls held their ground. This shows that every minor dip is being bought. Buyers will try to propel the ADA/USDT pair to $0.62 and subsequently to $0.68.

Meanwhile, the bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to drag the price back below the moving averages. If they can pull it off, the pair may fall to the vital support at $0.46. Buyers are expected to guard this level because if they fail to do that, the pair may dive to $0.40.

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche (AVAX) is facing selling near $42, indicating that the higher levels continue to attract sellers.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The first support on the downside is at the moving averages. If the price bounces off the 20-day EMA ($36.27), it will indicate that the sentiment remains positive and traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity. The AVAX/USDT pair will then again try to overcome the barrier at $42. If that happens, the pair may soar to $50.

On the contrary, a slide below the moving averages will indicate that the breakout was a fake move. The pair may decline to $32, an important level to watch out for.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been trading inside a symmetrical triangle for the past several days, indicating indecision between the bulls and the bears.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($0.08) has flattened out, and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. Buyers will have to thrust the price above the triangle to gain the upper hand. The DOGE/USDT pair may then attempt a rally to the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone.

The advantage will tilt in favor of the bears if they sink and maintain the price below the uptrend line. That may start a fall to the strong support at $0.07 and eventually to $0.06. Buyers are likely to defend this level aggressively.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風(fēng)險，讀者在做出決定時應(yīng)自行研究。

熱點：BTC DOGE ETH ADA